Freight Forecast: What to Expect in Q3 2025
As we head into the third quarter of 2025, supply chain leaders are looking ahead with a mix of optimism and caution. After a year of shifting capacity, fluctuating rates, and continued geopolitical uncertainty, Q3 presents both challenges and opportunities across the freight landscape.
At Driven Group, we’re keeping a close eye on industry trends, customer behavior, and operational data to help our partners navigate what’s next. Here’s what you can expect as we move through Q3 2025—and how to stay ahead.
1. Capacity Is Loosening—But Not Everywhere
While national truckload capacity is more available than in Q1 and Q2, certain regions remain tight. Seasonal demand, infrastructure issues, and labor shortages continue to limit availability in key markets.
Regions showing the most pressure in Q3:
- Northeast (urban congestion and port activity remain high)
- Southeast (produce and retail surges)
- Midwest (tight reefer and flatbed markets)
Shippers should book high-priority freight early and work closely with providers who have access to both asset-based and contracted capacity.
2. Fuel Costs Remain Volatile
Diesel prices have stabilized slightly since the sharp spikes of late 2024, but fuel remains a key factor in rate fluctuations. Carriers are still adjusting surcharges weekly, particularly on long-haul routes.
What to expect:
- Higher variability in spot market pricing
- Continued emphasis on fuel-efficient routing and mode optimization
- Opportunities to save through dedicated lanes or regional strategies
Driven Group continues to monitor fuel trends in real time to help our clients lock in the most cost-effective options without sacrificing service.
3. Retail and E-Commerce Demand Will Pick Up
Q3 always signals a ramp-up in retail volume ahead of the back-to-school and early holiday build-up. This year, increased consumer confidence and tighter inventory strategies will drive volume growth in both full truckload (FTL) and last-mile shipments.
Impact areas:
- Increased demand for flexible delivery windows and multi-stop loads
- Pressure on last-mile capacity in metro regions
- Greater need for visibility, communication, and performance tracking
Our team is already coordinating strategic volume planning with key clients to ensure consistent performance during this seasonal surge.
4. Technology Will Separate the Leaders from the Rest
Shippers and carriers alike are prioritizing automation, tracking, and predictive analytics. With tighter margins and growing complexity, visibility is no longer optional—it’s expected.
Shippers are asking for:
- Real-time GPS tracking
- Status notifications and ETAs
- On-demand performance reporting
Driven Group continues to invest in technology that provides end-to-end transparency, 24/7 support, and seamless communication across every shipment.
5. The Push for Reliable Partners Is Stronger Than Ever
More shippers are consolidating providers, looking for 3PLs who offer accountability, flexibility, and long-term alignment. In an unpredictable market, reliability has become the new currency.
Questions every shipper is asking:
- Can my 3PL adapt when things go wrong?
- Do they control their own assets?
- Are they scalable as we grow?
As an asset-based 3PL with brokerage flexibility, Driven Group is built for resilience. We manage the unexpected, communicate clearly, and deliver consistently—even under pressure.
Final Takeaway: Plan Early. Communicate Often. Partner Strategically.
Q3 2025 is shaping up to be a dynamic quarter—one that rewards those who plan ahead and align with reliable, forward-thinking logistics providers. Whether you’re moving regionally or across the country, the ability to respond quickly and proactively will define your success.
